Data harnessed to reveal Covid-19 spread in real time

A study that uses patient data to track the progress of the Covid-19 pandemic in near real time across Scotland is set to launch.

The project will also be able to track the effectiveness of any new treatments or vaccines.

The study is led by researchers at the University of Edinburgh in collaboration with University of Strathclyde, Health Protection Scotland (part of Public Health Scotland), West of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre and University of Aberdeen and endorsed by the Scottish Government.

Scottish uniqueness 

By accessing the anonymised electronic health records of at least 1.2 million people across Scotland, experts say it should be possible to form a more complete picture of the impact that Covid-19 is having on people’s health.

Scotland is uniquely placed to allow this type of research due to the rich dataset generated via the Community Health Index (CHI) number - a distinctive identifier assigned to each person in Scotland registered with the NHS.

Rich dataset

The CHI number connects information on each hospital admission, accident and emergency visit, laboratory test results and prescriptions.

In analysing the data, it should be possible to see the impact that Covid-19 is having in different parts of Scotland and different age groups, including those categorised as ‘at-risk’.

The data analysis will be complemented by work being done to sequence the genes of the virus and results from blood and swab samples taken as part of standard clinical tests to determine who has been exposed to the coronavirus.

A key element of overcoming the pandemic in Scotland will be to understand how it is evolving in the country in near real-time.  Our results will inform policymakers, clinicians and the public on the progress of the epidemic and the benefits of any interventions we take such as antiviral medicines or vaccines.