Martin Smith


  • Philosophy
  • School of Philosophy, Psychology and Language Sciences

Contact details



Room 5.08, Dugald Stewart Building

3 Charles Street, Edinburgh
Post code


I arrived at the University of Edinburgh in 2016, having worked previously at the University of Glasgow and the University of St Andrews.  I completed my PhD at the Australian National University in 2005.  Here is a video of a lecture that I recently gave at the Collège de France.


Between Probability and Certainty: What Justifies Belief (Oxford University Press, 2016)  (Introduction)

Reviews:          Analysis (Charity Anderson)         Mind (Kelly Becker)         AJP (José Bermúdez)

Articles for a wider audience

‘Why throwing 92 heads in a row is not surprising’, winner of the inaugural Sanders Prize for Public Philosophy, forthcoming in Philosophers' Imprint

'When probability is not enough' Oxford University Press blog

'Believing the unlikely' Oxford University Press blog

Selected papers

A full list of publications can be found here.


PDF icon 53899.pdf

Research summary

Epistemology, Logic, Philosophy of Law

Current project grants

Co-investigator on the AHRC research project The Whole Truth (Jan 2016-Aug 2017)

Past project grants

Principal investigator on the AHRC project Justification and Probability (Sep 2014-May 2015)