Quick Access List

A reference list of our key academic paper publications

2024

Prevalence and risk factors for long COVID among adults in Scotland using electronic health records: a national, retrospective, observational cohort study

Jeffrey, K; Woolford, L; Maini, R; Daines, L; et. al.

eClinicalMedicine, Volume 71

Published online on: 12 April 2024

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102590

Risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes after autumn 2022 COVID-19 booster vaccinations: a pooled analysis of national prospective cohort studies involving 7.4 million adults in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales

Stuart Bedston; Almaghrabi, F; Patterson, L; Agrawal, U; et. al.

The Lancet - Regional Health Europe

Published online on: 12 December 2023 (officially published February 2024)

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.10081

Risk of winter hospitalisation and death from acute respiratory infections in Scotland: national retrospective cohort study

Shi, Ting; Millington, T; Robertson, C; Jeffrey, K; et.al

Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine

Published online on: 12 February 2024

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768231223584

Risk of COVID-19 death in adults who received booster COVID-19 vaccinations in England

Ward, I; Robertson, C; Agrawal, A; Patterson, L; et.al.

Nature Communications

Published online on: 16 January 2024

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44276-x

Under-vaccination and severe COVID-19 outcomes: meta-analysis of national cohort studies in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales

Kerr, S; Bedston, S; Cezard, G; Sampi, A; et.al

The Lancet

Published online on: 15 January 2024

Available online at: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)02467-4/fulltext

2023

Quality of ethnicity data within Scottish health records and implications of misclassification for ethnic inequalities in severe COVID-19: a national linked data study

Amele, S; McCabe, R; Kibuchi, E; Pearce, A; et. al.

Journal of Public Health

Published online on 19 October 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdad196

Developing the EAVE III platform for future health crises

Simpson, C.R; Robertson, C; McMenamin, J; Ritchie L.D; Sheikh, A

The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Published on: 12 October 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00626-6

Understanding and reporting odds ratios as rate-ratio estimates in case-control studies

Kerr, S; Greenland, S; Jeffrey, K; Millington, T; et.al.

The Journal of Global Health

Published online on: 15 September 2023

Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.7189/jogh.13.04101

Predictors of incomplete COVID-19 vaccine schedule among adults in Scotland: Two retrospective cohort analyses of the primary schedule and third dose

Morrison, K; Cullen, L; James, A.B; Chua, V; et.al.

Vaccine

Published on: 17 August 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.07.070

Ethnic inequalities in positive SARS-CoV-2 tests, infection prognosis, COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths: analysis of 2 years of a record linked national cohort study in Scotland

Amele, S; Kibuchi, E; McCabe, R; Katikireddi, S.V; et. al

Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health

Published on: 31 July 2023

Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2023-220501

Severity of Omicron BA.5 variant and protective effect of vaccination: national cohort and matched analyses in Scotland

Robertson, C; Sheikh, A & Kerr, S

The Lancet Regional Health - Europe

Published on: 14 April 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100638

(Pre-print) Association between antibody responses post-vaccination and severe COVID-19 outcomes: national population-based cohort study in Scotland

Macdonald, C; Palmateer, N; McAuley, A; Lindsay, L; et. al.

Submitted to npj Vaccines

Published online on 22 May 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2789162/v1

Accelerated waning of the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in obesity

van der Klaauw, A.A; Horner, E.C; Pereyra-Gerber, P; Agrawal, U; et. al.

Nature Medicine

Published online on: 11 May 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02343-2

(pre-print) Identifying Long Covid Using Electronic Health Records: A National Observational Cohort Study in Scotland

Jeffrey, K; Woolford, L; Maini, R; Daines, L; et. al.

The Lancet (pre-print)

Published online on: 8 March 2023

Available online at: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4376992

Real-World Severe COVID-19 Outcomes Associated with Use of Antivirals and Neutralising Monoclonal Antibodies: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study in Scotland

Tibble, H; Mueller, T; Proud, E; Hall, E; et. al.

preprints with The Lancet

Published online on: 2 March 2023

Available online at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4356763

Effectiveness of mRNA boosters after homologous primary series with BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 against symptomatic infection and severe COVID-19 in Brazil and Scotland: A test-negative design case–control study

Cerqueira-Silva, T; Shah, S.A; Robertson, C; Sanchez, M; et. al.

PLOS MEDICINE

Published on: 11 January 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004156

A population-based matched cohort study of major congenital anomalies following COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection

Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; Denny, C; Donaghy, J; et. al.

Nature Communications

Published Online on: 6 January 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35771-8

Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Scottish neonates 2020-2022: a national, population-based cohort study

Goulding, A; McQuaid, F; Lindsay, L; Agrawal, U; et. al.

Archives of Disease in Childhood: Fetal & Neonatal Edition

Published Online on: 6 January 2023

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2022-324713

2022

Uptake of monoclonal antibodies and anti-viral therapies for COVID-19 in Scotland

Tibble, H; Mueller, T; Proud, E; Hall, E; et. al.

The Lancet (Letters)

Published online on: 22 December 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(22)02398-4

Assessing medication use patterns in patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a retrospective study

Mueller, T; Kurdi, A; Hall, E; Bullard, I; et. al.

BMJ Open Access

Published online on: 8 December 2022

Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064320

Severity of BA.2 variant and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease in Scotland

Kerr, S; Robertson, C; Hillman, S; Grange, Z; et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Europe

Published on: 4 November 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100533

Waning of first and second dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccinations: A pooled target trial study of 12.9 million individuals in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales

Kerr, S; Bedston, S; Bradley, D.T.; Joy, M; et.al

International Journal of Epidemiology

Published on: 22 October 22

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyac199

A population-based matched cohort study of early pregnancy outcomes following COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection

Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; Denny, C; Donaghy, J; et. al.

Nature Communications

Published online on: 17 October 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33937-y

Severe COVID-19 outcomes after full vaccination of primary schedule and initial boosters: pooled analysis of national prospective cohort studies of 30 million individuals in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales

Agrawal, U; Bedston, S; McCowan, C; Oke, J; et. al

The Lancet

Published online on: 14 October 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01656-7

Pregnancy outcomes following Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection in Scotland: a population-based cohort study

Stock, SJ; Moore, E.K; Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; et. al

The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Published online one: 7 October 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(22)00360-5

BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination uptake, safety, effectiveness and waning in children and young people aged 12–17 years in Scotland

Rudan, I; Milligan, T; Antal, K; Grange, Z; et. al.

The Lancet Regional Health Europe

Published online: 28 September 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100513

Risk of COVID-19 hospitalizations among school-aged children in Scotland: A national incident cohort study

Shi, T; Pan, J; Moore, E; Katikireddi, SV; etl. al.

The Journal of Global Health

Published Online on: 23 September 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05044

Characterising adults in Scotland who are not vaccinated against COVID-19

Shahul, S; Hall, Elliott; Grange, Z; Sullivan, C; et. al

The Lancet Letters

Published online on: 22 September 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01653-1

Second-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland

Simpson, C.R; Kerr, S.; Katikireddi, S.V; McGowan, C.; et.al

Published in Nature Communications

Published online on: 15 August 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32264-6

Vaccine Effectiveness of Two-Dose BNT162b2 Over Time Against COVID-19 Symptomatic Infection and Severe Cases Among Adolescents: Test Negative Design Case Control Studies in Brazil and Scotland

Florentino, P.T.V; Millington, T; Cerqueira-Silva, T; Robertson, C; et. al.

The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Published online: 8 August 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00451-0

COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 outcomes from Delta AY.4.2: Cohort and test-negative study of 5.4 million individuals in Scotland

Kerr, S; Vasileiou, E; Robertson, C & Sheikh, A

The Journal of Global Health

Published on: 9 July 2022

Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05025

(Pre-print) Accelerated waning of the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in obesity

van der Klaauw, A. A; Horner, E.C; Pereyra-Gerber, P; Agrawal, U; et. al.

Published in medRxiv

Published online: 14 June 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.06.09.22276196

Common protocol for validation of the QCOVID algorithm across the four UK nations

Kerr, S.; Robertson, C.; Nafilyan, V.; Sheikh, A.; et.al

Published in BMJ Open

Published online on: 14 June 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050994

Impact of first UK COVID-19 lockdown on hospital admissions: Interrupted time series study of 32 million people

Shah, S. A,; Brophy, S.; Kennedy, J.; Fisher, L.; et. al.

eClinicalMedicine (The Lancet Discovery Science)

Published Online 20 May 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101462

Impact on emergency and elective hospital-based care in Scotland over the first 12 months of the pandemic: interrupted time-series analysis of national lockdowns

Shah, S.A.; Mulholland, R.H.; Wilkinson, S.; Sheikh, A.; et.al.

Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine

Published 03 May 2022

Available via: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/01410768221095239

Severity of omicron variant of concern and effectiveness of vaccine boosters against symptomatic disease in Scotland (EAVE II): a national cohort study with nested test negative design

Sheikh, A.; Kerr, S.; Woolhouse, M.; McMenamin, J.; et. al.

The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Published Online 22 April 2022

Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00141-4

(pre-print) Waning of mRNA Boosters after Homologous Primary Series with BNT162b2 or ChadOx1 Against Symptomatic Infection and Severe COVID-19 in Brazil and Scotland: A Test-Negative Design Case-Control Study

Cerqueira-Silva, T.; Shah, S.A.; Robertson, C.; Sanchez, M. N.; et. al.

Pre-prints with the Lancet

Published online on: 14 April 2022

Available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4082927

(pre-print) Vaccine Effectiveness of Two-Dose BNT162b2 Over Time Against COVID-19 Symptomatic Infection and Severe Cases Among Adolescents: Test Negative Design Case Control Studies in Brazil and Scotland

Pre-print

Lorentino, P.T.V; Millington, T; Cerqueira-Silva, T; Robertson, C; et. al.

The Lancet

Published on: 5 April 2022

Available via: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4074678

BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Vaccinations, Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infections and COVID-19 Hospitalisations in Scotland in the Delta era

Shah SA, Robertson C, Rudan I, et. al.

The Journal of Global Health

Published Online March 26, 2022

Available via The Journal of Global Health (online): https://doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05008

Uptake of infant and preschool immunisations in Scotland and England during the COVID-19 pandemic: An observational study of routinely collected data

McQuaid F, Mulholland R, Rai YS, Agrawal U, et al.

PLOS Medicine

Published Online February 22, 2022

Available via PLOS Medicine (online): https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003916

First dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccinations and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis: A pooled self-controlled case series study of 11.6 million individuals in England, Scotland, and Wales

Kerr S, Joy M, Torabi F, Bedston S, Akbari A, Agrawal U, et al.

PLOS Medicine

Published Online February 22, 2022

Available via PLOS Medicine (online): https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003927

Vaccine effectiveness of heterologous CoronaVac plus BNT162b2 in Brazil

Cerqueira-Silva, T; Srinivasa, V.K; de Araujo Oliveria, V; Flores-Ortiz, R; et.al.

Nature Medicine

Published online on: 9 February 2022

Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-022-01701-w

Risk of serious COVID-19 outcomes among adults with asthma in Scotland: a national incident cohort study

Shi T, Pan J, Vasileiou E, et al.

The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Published Online January 13, 2022

Available via The Lancet Respiratory Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00543-9

SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination rates in pregnant women in Scotland

Stock SJ, Carruthers J, Calvert C, et al.

Nature Medicine (2022)

Published Online January 13, 2022

Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01666-2

Cohort Profile: The COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS) dynamic cohort of pregnant women to assess effects of viral and vaccine exposures on pregnancy

Stock SJ, Carruthers J, Denny C, et al.

International Journal of Epidemiology

Published online January 03, 2022

Available via International Journal of Epidemiology: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab243

2021

(Pre-print) Two-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine protection against COVID-19 hospital admissions and deaths over time: a retrospective, population-based cohort study in Scotland and Brazil

Katikireddi, V., et al.

The Lancet

Published Online December 20, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02754-9

Risk of COVID-19 hospital admission among children aged 5–17 years with asthma in Scotland: a national incident cohort study

Shi, T., Pan J., Katikireddi, V., et al.

The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Published Online November 30, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00491-4

External validation of the QCovid risk prediction algorithm for risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation and mortality in adults: national validation cohort study in Scotland

Simpson CR, Robertson C, Kerr S, et al.

Thorax

Published Online November 15, 2021

Available via Thorax: https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2021-217580

Characteristics and risk of COVID-19-related death in fully vaccinated people in Scotland

Grange, Z., Buelo, A., Sullivan, C., et al.

The Lancet

Published Online October 28, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02316-3

Neurological complications after first dose of COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection

Patone, M., Handunnetthi, L., Saatci, D et al.

Nature Medicine

Published Online October 25, 2021

Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01556-7

Association between multimorbidity and mortality in a cohort of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 in Scotland

Agarwal, U., Azcoaga-Lorenzo, A., Fagbamigbe, AF et al.

Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine

Published Online October 21, 2021

Available via Sage Journals: https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768211051715

BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against Death from the Delta Variant

Sheikh, A., Robertson, C., Taylor, B

The NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL of MEDICINE

Published Online October 20, 2021

Available via New England Journal of Medicine: http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2113864

COVID-19 hospital admissions and deaths post BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccinations: National prospective cohort study of 2.57 million people in Scotland

Agrawal, U., Katikireddi, S. V., McCowan, C., Mulholland, R. H., et al.

The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Published Online September 29, 2021

Available via The Lancet Respiratory Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00380-5

Ethnic and social inequalities in COVID-19 outcomes in Scotland: protocol for early pandemic evaluation and enhanced surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II)

Henery, P., Vasileiou, E., Hainey, K.J., et al.

BMJ Open 2021;11:e048852

Published Online August 10, 2021

Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/0.1136/bmjopen-2021-048852

Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021

Shah, S. A., Moore, E., Robertson, C., McMenamin, J., et al.

The Lancet Digital Health, Volume 3, Issue 9, e539 - e541

Published Online August 9, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00175-8

Temporal trends and forecasting of COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in Scotland using a national real-time patient-level data platform: a statistical modelling study

Simpson, C. R., Robertson, C., Vasileiou, E., Moore, E., McCowan, C., Agrawal, U., et al.

The Lancet Digital Health, Volume 3, Issue 8, e517 - e525

Published Online July 5, 2021

Available via The Lancet Digital Health: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00105-9

SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Scotland: demographics, risk of hospital admission, and vaccine effectiveness

Sheikh, A., McMenamin, J., Taylor, B., Robertson, C.

The Lancet, Volume 397, Issue 10293, P2461-2462

Published Online June 14, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01358-1

First-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland.

Simpson, C.R., Shi, T., Vasileiou, E. et al.

Nat Med 27, 1290–1297 (2021)

Published Online June 9, 2021

Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01408-4

Cohort profile: Early pandemic evaluation and enhanced surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) database

Mulholland, R. H., Vasileiou, E., et al.

International Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 50, Issue 4, August 2021, Pages 1064–1074

Published Online June 5, 2021

Available via International Journal of Epidemiology: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab028

Impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on the Incidence and Mortality of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: National Interrupted Time Series Analyses for Scotland and Wales

Alsallakh, M.A., Sivakumaran, S., Kennedy, S. et al.

BMC Med 19, 124 (2021)

Publised Online May 17, 2021

Available via BMC Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02000-w

Interim findings from first-dose mass COVID-19 vaccination roll-out and COVID-19 hospital admissions in Scotland: a national prospective cohort study

Vasileiou E, Simpson CR, Robertson C, Shi T, Kerr S, et al.

The Lancet, Volume 397, Issue 10285, 1646 - 1657

Published Online April 23, 2021

Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00677-2

Statistical Analysis Plans (SAPs) available: Protocol and analysis | The University of Edinburgh

Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on emergency asthma admissions and deaths: national interrupted time series analyses for Scotland and Wales

Davies GA, Alsallakh MA, Sivakumaran S, et al.

Thorax 2021;76:867-873

Published Online March 29, 2021

Available via Thorax: https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-216380

(Preprint) Effectiveness of First Dose of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Hospital Admissions in Scotland: National Prospective Cohort Study of 5.4 million People

Vasileriou E, Simpson CR, Robertson C, Shi T, Kerr S, et al.

Preprint with The Lancet

Published Online Feb 19, 2021

Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3789264

Code used in this analysis is available via the EAVE II GitHub site

2020

COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS): protocol for an observational study using linked Scottish national data

Stock SJ, McAllister D, Vasileiou E, et al

BMJ Open 2020;10:e042813

Published Online November 26, 2020

Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042813

Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study

Clift Ash K, Coupland Carol A C, Keogh Ruth H, Diaz-Ordaz Karla, Williamson Elizabeth, Harrison Ewen M et al.

BMJ 2020; 371 :m3731

Published Online October 20, 2020

Available via BMJ: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3731

Impact of COVID-19 on accident and emergency attendances and emergency and planned hospital admissions in Scotland: an interrupted time-series analysis.

Mulholland RH, Wood R, Stagg HR, et al.

Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. 2020;113(11):444-453.

Published Online October 4, 2020

Available via Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1177/0141076820962447

Read the associated press release (Oct 2020): New study highlights disruptive impact of pandemic on non-COVID NHS care in Scotland

Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II): Protocol for an Observational Study using Linked Scottish National Data

Simpson CR, Robertson C, Vasileiou E, et al

BMJ Open 2020;10:e039097

Published Online June 21, 2020

Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039097

This article was published on 21 Apr, 2024