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Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from COVID-19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study

A study to derive and validate a risk prediction algorithm to estimate hospital admission and mortality outcomes from COVID-19 in adults.

Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study

Clift Ash K, Coupland Carol A C, Keogh Ruth H, Diaz-Ordaz Karla, Williamson Elizabeth, Harrison Ewen M et al.

BMJ 2020; 371 :m3731 doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3731

What is QCovid® ?

QCovid® is an evidence-based model that uses a range of factors such as age, sex, ethnicity and existing medical conditions to predict risk of death or hospitalisation from COVID-19. It provides nuanced information on people’s risk of serious illness due to COVID-19 and has the potential to help patients and doctors reach a shared understanding of risk. It is a 'living' risk prediction model which will be updated regularly as our understanding of COVID-19 increases and more data become available.

The QCovid® algorithm was developed as part of the QResearch programme at The University of Oxford.

The EAVE II team contributed to the validation of this algorithm.

QResearch at The University of Oxford

QCOVID risk calculator